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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
71.8 → 71.5 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 26 Stuttgart (H) | 72.8 +0.4 | |
| 26 Feb 26 Stuttgart (A) | 72.5 -0.3 | |
| 17 Sep 26 Ferencváros (H) | 72.3 -0.2 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Benfica (A) | 72.1 -0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Celta Vigo (H) | 71.5 -0.6 |
63.4 → 67.4 (+4.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 25 Athletic Club (H) | 63.7 +1.7 | |
| 30 Jan 25 Twente (A) | 63.4 -0.3 | |
| 17 Sep 26 Marseille (H) | 64.9 +1.5 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Hoffenheim (A) | 66.8 +1.9 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Crystal Palace (H) | 67.4 +0.6 |
There are 67 places between these two in our European rankings, with Celtic the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Beşiktaş JK have moved +4.0 rating points, against -0.3 for Celtic.
Celtic first climbed to #86 in our European rankings on 22 February 2026.
Beşiktaş JK first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 72.6 on 1 November 2017.