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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
79.2 → 76.8 (-2.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May Paris FC (H) | 78.0 -0.2 | |
| 17 May Marseille (A) | 78.0 0.0 | |
| 23 Aug PSG (H) | 77.6 -0.4 | |
| 30 Aug Le Mans (H) | 77.1 -0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Angers (A) | 76.8 -0.3 |
73.1 → 72.8 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec FC Kairat (A) | 74.5 +0.7 | |
| 20 Jan Leverkusen (H) | 73.8 -0.7 | |
| 28 Jan Ajax (A) | 73.1 -0.7 | |
| 18 Feb Leverkusen (H) | 72.6 -0.5 | |
| 24 Feb Leverkusen (A) | 72.8 +0.2 |
There are 40 places between these two in our European rankings, with Rennes the higher.
Olympiacos FC arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Rennes's -2.4.
The best xGtoday rating Rennes have ever held is 83.5, first set on 23 Oct 2022.
The highest Olympiacos FC have ever stood in our European rankings is #71, first reached on 18 Jan 2026.