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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
63.5 → 63.9 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Empoli (H) | 64.0 +0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Cesena (A) | 63.5 -0.5 | |
| 13 Sep Sampdoria (H) | 62.8 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Pisa (H) | 62.6 -0.2 | |
| 11 Oct Catanzaro (A) | 63.9 +1.3 |
71.5 → 70.9 (-0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Padova (A) | 71.6 +0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Arezzo (H) | 71.8 +0.2 | |
| 11 Sep Benevento (A) | 71.9 +0.1 | |
| 20 Sep Vicenza (H) | 71.5 -0.4 | |
| 11 Oct Modena (A) | 70.9 -0.6 |
Mantova trail Hellas Verona by 129 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 11 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Mantova have moved +0.4 rating points, against -0.6 for Hellas Verona.
Mantova first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 64.0 on 30 August 2026.
The highest Hellas Verona have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #49, first reached on 7 May 2022.