Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction | 21 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Leeds United
Ranking: #22 overall, #10 in England

83.9 → 82.4 (-1.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 30 Aug Brentford (H) 81.5 -0.2
1-1 05 Sep Brighton (A) 82.1 +0.6
4-1 14 Sep Newcastle (H) 82.7 +0.6
0-0 20 Sep Crystal Palace (H) 82.6 -0.1
2-1 10 Oct Arsenal (A) 82.4 -0.2

Chelsea vs Leeds United: by the numbers

Chelsea sit 7 places above Leeds United in our European rankings, and 4 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Leeds United have moved -1.5 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 10 February 2026, Chelsea gained 0.5 rating points.

Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 August 2021.

Leeds United first climbed to joint #17 in our European rankings on 20 April 2026.