Newcastle United vs Arsenal prediction | 21 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Newcastle United
Ranking: #27 overall, #13 in England

85.5 → 81.6 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
2-2 05 Sep Bournemouth (H) 83.1 -0.6
4-1 14 Sep Leeds Utd (A) 82.5 -0.6
2-1 19 Sep Hull City (H) 81.7 -0.8
4-1 12 Oct Coventry (A) 81.6 -0.1
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

94.5 → 94.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep Napoli (A) 94.9 +0.6
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
2-1 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1

Newcastle United vs Arsenal: by the numbers

Arsenal sit 25 places above Newcastle United in our European rankings, and 12 places above them in England.

Arsenal arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Newcastle United's -3.9.

Newcastle United gained 0.9 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 April 2026.

Newcastle United first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 27 August 2023.

The best xGtoday rating Arsenal have ever held is 96.8, first set on 7 February 2026.