Southampton vs Derby County prediction | 21 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Southampton
Ranking: #119 overall, #23 in England

69.9 → 71.2 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 09 May Boro (A) 69.2 -0.4
2-1 12 May Boro (H) 69.7 +0.5
2-1 16 Aug Watford (A) 70.3 +0.6
3-1 22 Aug Stoke City (H) 70.5 +0.2
5-1 29 Aug Millwall (H) 71.2 +0.7
Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4

Southampton vs Derby County: by the numbers

Southampton sit 142 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 14 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Southampton on the rise, +1.3 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Derby County has gone the other way at -2.8.

Derby County lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 11 Apr 2026.

The highest Southampton have ever stood in our European rankings is #23, first reached on 10 Aug 2020.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 Dec 2018.