Southampton vs Derby County prediction | 21 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Southampton
Ranking: #134 overall, #23 in England

70.3 → 70.2 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 08 Sep Swansea City (H) 69.5 -0.2
4-1 12 Sep Bristol City (H) 68.8 -0.7
2-1 19 Sep Wrexham (A) 69.7 +0.9
1-0 11 Oct Portsmouth (H) 69.4 -0.3
0-1 14 Oct Norwich City (A) 70.2 +0.8
Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2

Southampton vs Derby County: by the numbers

Southampton sit 155 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 16 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Southampton on the rise, -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Derby County has gone the other way at -2.6.

Derby County lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 11 April 2026.

The highest Southampton have ever stood in our European rankings is #23, first reached on 10 August 2020.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 December 2018.