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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
66.1 → 66.5 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Lorient (A) | 67.0 +1.2 | |
| 06 Sep Strasbourg (H) | 67.1 +0.1 | |
| 13 Sep Lille (A) | 66.9 -0.2 | |
| 19 Sep Angers (A) | 66.4 -0.5 | |
| 11 Oct Marseille (H) | 66.5 +0.1 |
71.4 → 71.8 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Lyon (A) | 70.6 -0.3 | |
| 05 Sep Brest (H) | 70.4 -0.2 | |
| 12 Sep Angers (H) | 70.6 +0.2 | |
| 19 Sep Toulouse (A) | 71.4 +0.8 | |
| 10 Oct Lille (A) | 71.8 +0.4 |
Troyes trail Le Havre AC by 85 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in France.
Last time these teams played, on 15 May 2021, Troyes gained 0.8 rating points.
Troyes first climbed to #76 in our European rankings on 31 August 2022.
Le Havre AC first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 74.3 on 8 November 2025.