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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
75.8 → 76.0 (+0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 04 May Cremonese (A) | 77.7 -0.1 | |
| 09 May Inter (H) | 77.5 -0.2 | |
| 17 May Roma (A) | 77.5 0.0 | |
| 23 May Pisa (H) | 76.7 -0.8 | |
| 24 Aug Bologna (A) | 76.0 -0.7 |
70.4 → 70.2 (-0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Pisa (A) | 69.6 -0.7 | |
| 09 May Juventus (H) | 69.3 -0.3 | |
| 17 May Sassuolo (A) | 68.7 -0.6 | |
| 24 May Genoa (H) | 69.4 +0.7 | |
| 23 Aug Venezia (A) | 70.2 +0.8 |
Lazio sit 70 places above Lecce in our European rankings, and 10 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Lazio have moved +0.2 rating points, against -0.2 for Lecce.
Lazio lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 Jan 2026.
Lazio first climbed to joint #18 in our European rankings on 24 Nov 2018.
Lecce first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 75.0 on 5 May 2024.