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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
63.6 → 63.9 (+0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep Cesena (A) | 63.5 -0.5 | |
| 13 Sep Sampdoria (H) | 62.8 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Pisa (H) | 62.6 -0.2 | |
| 11 Oct Catanzaro (A) | 63.9 +1.3 | |
| 17 Oct Palermo (H) | 63.9 0.0 |
57.7 → 57.9 (+0.2 over last 7 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep Verona (A) | 57.0 -0.2 | |
| 11 Sep Empoli (A) | 57.5 +0.5 | |
| 20 Sep Südtirol (H) | 57.5 0.0 | |
| 10 Oct Cremonese (H) | 58.4 +0.9 | |
| 18 Oct Sampdoria (A) | 57.9 -0.5 |
Arezzo trail Mantova by 194 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 26 in Italy.
Mantova arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches; Arezzo have moved +0.2 over their last 7.
Mantova first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 64.0 on 30 August 2026.
Arezzo first climbed to joint #437 in our European rankings on 10 October 2026.