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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
95.3 → 92.5 (-2.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 May Lens (A) | 93.2 -1.4 | |
| 17 May Paris FC (A) | 91.5 -1.7 | |
| 30 May Arsenal (H) | 92.4 +0.9 | |
| 23 Aug Rennes (A) | 92.8 +0.4 | |
| 28 Aug Lille (A) | 92.5 -0.3 |
80.0 → 83.5 (+3.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 04 May Fiorentina (H) | 81.7 +0.7 | |
| 10 May Parma (A) | 82.2 +0.5 | |
| 17 May Lazio (H) | 82.2 0.0 | |
| 24 May Verona (A) | 82.9 +0.7 | |
| 24 Aug Fiorentina (H) | 83.5 +0.6 |
There are 18 places between these two in our European rankings, with Paris Saint-Germain the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Roma have moved +3.5 rating points, against -2.8 for Paris Saint-Germain.
The highest Paris Saint-Germain have ever stood in our European rankings is #1, first reached on 11 Mar 2025.
Roma first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 Jul 2017.