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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
91.5 → 92.3 (+0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Slovan (H) | 92.8 +0.1 | |
| 13 Sep Brest (A) | 92.1 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Marseille (A) | 92.6 +0.5 | |
| 10 Oct Le Mans (H) | 92.7 +0.1 | |
| 14 Oct Man City (A) | 92.3 -0.4 |
82.2 → 83.0 (+0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep Fenerbahçe (A) | 83.6 -1.1 | |
| 14 Sep Torino (A) | 84.0 +0.4 | |
| 19 Sep Inter (H) | 83.3 -0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Como (A) | 83.2 -0.1 | |
| 14 Oct Real Madrid (H) | 83.0 -0.2 |
There are 16 places between these two in our European rankings, with Paris Saint-Germain the higher.
The highest Paris Saint-Germain have ever stood in our European rankings is #1, first reached on 11 March 2025.
Roma first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 July 2017.