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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
70.1 → 71.0 (+0.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Utrecht (H) | 69.8 0.0 | |
| 09 Aug Zwolle (A) | 70.4 +0.6 | |
| 16 Aug Heerenveen (H) | 70.7 +0.3 | |
| 30 Aug Telstar (A) | 71.1 +0.4 | |
| 05 Sep PSV (H) | 71.0 -0.1 |
There are 373 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher.
The highest Ajax have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #5, first reached on 23 Apr 2022.
FC Thun 1898 first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 54.9 on 6 Aug 2026.