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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
65.1 → 64.3 (-0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov 21 Randers (A) | 63.9 +0.1 | |
| 25 Nov 21 AZ Alkmaar (H) | 63.8 -0.1 | |
| 09 Dec 21 CFR Cluj (A) | 63.7 -0.1 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Freiburg (A) | 63.9 +0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Brighton (H) | 64.3 +0.4 |
65.2 → 66.3 (+1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 24 Pafos FC (H) | 65.3 +0.5 | |
| 06 Mar 25 NK Celje (A) | 66.2 +0.9 | |
| 13 Mar 25 NK Celje (H) | 65.5 -0.7 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Crvena zvezda (H) | 66.3 +0.8 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Getafe (A) | 66.3 0.0 |
FC Lugano sit 44 places above FK Jablonec in our European rankings.
The recent trend shows FC Lugano on the rise, +1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while FK Jablonec has gone the other way at -0.8.
FK Jablonec first climbed to #224 in our European rankings on 17 September 2021.
The best xGtoday rating FC Lugano have ever held is 66.4, first set on 15 October 2026.