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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
75.4 → 78.0 (+2.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 26 Schalke 04 (H) | 77.9 +0.1 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Jablonec (H) | 77.7 -0.2 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Leverkusen (A) | 77.9 +0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Monaco (A) | 78.3 +0.4 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Bayern Munich (H) | 78.0 -0.3 |
74.0 → 76.1 (+2.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Fortuna (A) | 75.2 -0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 FC Thun (H) | 75.3 +0.1 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Utrecht (H) | 75.1 -0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Red Imps (A) | 75.5 +0.4 | |
| 25 Oct 26 AZ Alkmaar (A) | 76.1 +0.6 |
SC Freiburg sit 17 places above FC Twente in our European rankings.
The recent trend shows SC Freiburg on the rise, +2.6 rating points over their last 10 matches, while FC Twente has also improved, albeit more slowly at +2.1.
SC Freiburg first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.7 on 6 November 2022.
FC Twente first climbed to joint #63 in our European rankings on 25 October 2026.