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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
74.7 → 76.7 (+2.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Antwerp (A) | 76.7 +0.6 | |
| 11 Oct 26 OH Leuven (H) | 75.8 -0.9 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Real Sociedad (H) | 76.3 +0.5 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) | 76.6 +0.3 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Cercle (H) | 76.7 +0.1 |
65.4 → 68.4 (+3.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 26 Shakhtar (H) | 67.6 -0.4 | |
| 19 Mar 26 Shakhtar (A) | 68.9 +1.3 | |
| 17 Sep 26 Crystal Palace (A) | 69.1 +0.2 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Leverkusen (H) | 68.5 -0.6 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Sunderland (H) | 68.4 -0.1 |
Union SG sit 105 places above KKS Lech Poznań in our European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches KKS Lech Poznań have moved +3.0 rating points, against +2.0 for Union SG.
Union SG first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.0 on 16 September 2025.
KKS Lech Poznań first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 20 September 2026.