Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction | 28 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9

Arsenal vs Manchester City: by the numbers

Manchester City trail Arsenal by 2 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in England.

The recent trend shows Manchester City on the rise, -0.2 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.

Arsenal came away with their rating unchanged in the last contest between these two, on 19 Apr 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Arsenal have ever held is 96.8, first set on 7 Feb 2026.

Manchester City first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 26 Jul 2018.