Derby County vs Watford prediction | 28 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
Watford
Ranking: #257 overall, #36 in England

64.9 → 63.7 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 25 Apr Boro (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-4 02 May Coventry (H) 63.8 +0.4
2-1 16 Aug Southampton (H) 63.3 -0.5
1-1 22 Aug Wrexham (A) 62.7 -0.6
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0

Derby County vs Watford: by the numbers

There are 4 places between these two in our European rankings, with Watford the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Watford arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -1.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -2.8.

Derby County lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 21 Feb 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 Dec 2018.

The highest Watford have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #33, first reached on 8 Nov 2018.