Derby County vs Watford prediction | 28 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2
Watford
Ranking: #408 overall, #48 in England

63.3 → 59.5 (-3.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1
1-0 18 Sep Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
0-4 10 Oct Burnley (H) 60.3 -0.7
5-1 13 Oct Cardiff City (A) 59.5 -0.8

Derby County vs Watford: by the numbers

There are 119 places between these two in our European rankings, with Derby County the higher, and 9 places between them in England.

Derby County arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -2.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Watford's -3.8.

Derby County lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 21 February 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 December 2018.

The highest Watford have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #33, first reached on 8 November 2018.