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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
74.4 → 74.8 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May Auxerre (A) | 74.6 +0.4 | |
| 17 May Metz (H) | 74.8 +0.2 | |
| 26 May St. Etienne (A) | 74.7 -0.1 | |
| 29 May St. Etienne (H) | 75.1 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Lorient (H) | 74.8 -0.3 |
66.6 → 67.0 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr St. Etienne (A) | 66.6 +0.5 | |
| 02 May Stade Laval (H) | 67.0 +0.4 | |
| 09 May Grenoble (A) | 66.6 -0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Paris FC (H) | 65.8 -0.8 | |
| 29 Aug Lorient (A) | 67.0 +1.2 |
There are 117 places between these two in our European rankings, with OGC Nice the higher, and 11 places between them in France.
Last time these teams played, on 30 Apr 2023, Troyes lost 0.6 rating points.
The best xGtoday rating OGC Nice have ever held is 82.3, first set on 20 Apr 2025.
Troyes first climbed to #76 in our European rankings on 31 Aug 2022.