Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction | 29 Nov 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

93.6 → 94.6 (+1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
2-1 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1
0-1 18 Oct Nottm Forest (A) 94.6 -0.2
Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

89.7 → 91.3 (+1.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 13 Sep Man United (A) 91.6 0.0
5-3 20 Sep Sunderland (H) 90.4 -1.2
0-3 11 Oct Liverpool (A) 90.8 +0.4
2-4 14 Oct PSG (H) 91.2 +0.4
3-2 17 Oct Ipswich (H) 91.3 +0.1

Arsenal vs Manchester City: by the numbers

There are 3 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Manchester City have moved +1.6 rating points, against +1.0 for Arsenal.

Manchester City lost 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 19 April 2026.

Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 February 2024.

The best xGtoday rating Manchester City have ever held is 99.5, first set on 6 September 2022.