1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1. FC Union Berlin Union Berlin Rating: 76.4
H
60%
5 Dec 2026
Bundesliga
D
23%
Hamburger SV Hamburg Rating: 71.3
A
17%
1. FC Union Berlin
Ranking: #56 overall, #8 in Germany

75.4 → 76.4 (+1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 24 Apr RB Leipzig (A) 75.2 -0.5
2-2 02 May Köln (H) 74.5 -0.7
1-3 10 May Mainz 05 (A) 75.6 +1.1
4-0 16 May Augsburg (H) 76.4 +0.8
3-3 29 Aug Frankfurt (H) 76.4 0.0
Hamburger SV
Ranking: #118 overall, #21 in Germany

71.3 → 71.3 (0.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-2 25 Apr Hoffenheim (H) 70.1 +0.2
1-2 02 May Frankfurt (A) 70.4 +0.3
3-2 10 May Freiburg (H) 71.3 +0.9
1-1 16 May Leverkusen (A) 71.2 -0.1
2-0 29 Aug Dortmund (A) 71.3 +0.1

1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV: by the numbers

1. FC Union Berlin sit 62 places above Hamburger SV in our European rankings, and 13 places above them in Germany.

1. FC Union Berlin arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against Hamburger SV's +0.0.

Last time these teams played, on 14 Feb 2026, 1. FC Union Berlin came away with their rating unchanged.

The highest 1. FC Union Berlin have ever stood in our European rankings is #28, first reached on 16 Feb 2023.

Hamburger SV first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 77.0 on 15 Feb 2020.