Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Liverpool
Ranking: #7 overall, #3 in England

87.2 → 87.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) 87.3 0.0
0-0 12 Sep Fulham (H) 87.3 0.0
0-1 20 Sep Bournemouth (A) 88.0 +0.7
0-3 11 Oct Man City (H) 87.6 -0.4
3-6 14 Oct LASK (A) 87.8 +0.2

Chelsea vs Liverpool: by the numbers

Liverpool sit 8 places above Chelsea in our European rankings, and 3 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Liverpool have moved +0.6 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 9 May 2026, Chelsea gained 0.1 rating points.

Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 August 2021.

Liverpool first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 29 December 2018.