Middlesbrough vs Derby County prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Middlesbrough
Ranking: #74 overall, #19 in England

73.7 → 74.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 12 May Southampton (A) 73.9 -0.5
1-0 23 May Hull City (A) 73.6 -0.3
2-1 15 Aug Lincoln City (H) 73.8 +0.2
2-1 22 Aug Blackburn (A) 73.9 +0.1
3-1 29 Aug West Brom (H) 74.3 +0.4
Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: by the numbers

Middlesbrough sit 187 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 18 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Middlesbrough have moved +0.6 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Middlesbrough gained 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 1 Jan 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Middlesbrough have ever held is 74.6, first set on 24 Oct 2023.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 Dec 2018.