Middlesbrough vs Derby County prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Middlesbrough
Ranking: #69 overall, #20 in England

73.8 → 75.4 (+1.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 12 Sep Norwich City (H) 75.0 0.0
2-2 15 Sep Millwall (H) 74.5 -0.5
2-2 19 Sep Birmingham (A) 75.0 +0.5
1-0 10 Oct Wolves (H) 75.0 0.0
2-3 13 Oct Stoke City (A) 75.4 +0.4
Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: by the numbers

Middlesbrough sit 220 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 19 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Middlesbrough have moved +1.6 rating points, against -2.6 for Derby County.

Middlesbrough gained 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 1 January 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Middlesbrough have ever held is 75.4, first set on 13 October 2026.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 December 2018.