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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
67.2 → 65.7 (-1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Reggiana (H) | 65.1 -1.2 | |
| 08 May Avellino (A) | 64.4 -0.7 | |
| 12 May Juve Stabia (H) | 64.7 +0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Benevento (A) | 64.8 +0.1 | |
| 28 Aug Cremonese (A) | 65.7 +0.9 |
57.7 → 57.7 (0.0 over last 1 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Avellino (A) | 57.7 +0.9 |
Arezzo trail Modena by 232 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 30 in Italy.
Arezzo arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.0 rating points over their last 1 matches; Modena have moved -1.5 over their last 10.
The highest Modena have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #146, first reached on 10 Feb 2026.
Arezzo first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 57.7 on 22 Aug 2026.