Newcastle United vs Sunderland prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Newcastle United
Ranking: #27 overall, #13 in England

85.5 → 81.6 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
2-2 05 Sep Bournemouth (H) 83.1 -0.6
4-1 14 Sep Leeds Utd (A) 82.5 -0.6
2-1 19 Sep Hull City (H) 81.7 -0.8
4-1 12 Oct Coventry (A) 81.6 -0.1
Sunderland
Ranking: #49 overall, #17 in England

73.4 → 77.5 (+4.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 05 Sep Brentford (A) 75.7 +0.8
0-2 12 Sep Arsenal (H) 76.2 +0.5
1-0 16 Sep AZ Alkmaar (H) 76.7 +0.5
5-3 20 Sep Man City (A) 77.8 +1.1
0-2 10 Oct Brighton (H) 77.5 -0.3

Newcastle United vs Sunderland: by the numbers

Sunderland trail Newcastle United by 22 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 4 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Sunderland have moved +4.1 rating points, against -3.9 for Newcastle United.

Last time these teams played, on 22 March 2026, Newcastle United lost 1.3 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Newcastle United have ever held is 89.2, first set on 25 October 2025.

Sunderland first climbed to joint #47 in our European rankings on 20 September 2026.