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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
77.3 → 77.9 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Bremen (H) | 76.1 +0.7 | |
| 05 Sep Paderborn 07 (A) | 76.4 +0.3 | |
| 12 Sep Gladbach (H) | 77.0 +0.6 | |
| 19 Sep Frankfurt (A) | 77.8 +0.8 | |
| 11 Oct Schalke 04 (H) | 77.9 +0.1 |
78.4 → 79.0 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep Dortmund (H) | 79.2 -0.1 | |
| 12 Sep Stuttgart (H) | 79.5 +0.3 | |
| 17 Sep OFI Crete (A) | 79.3 -0.2 | |
| 20 Sep Paderborn 07 (A) | 79.8 +0.5 | |
| 10 Oct Hamburg (H) | 79.0 -0.8 |
SC Freiburg trail TSG Hoffenheim by 7 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in Germany.
TSG Hoffenheim gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 14 February 2026.
SC Freiburg first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.7 on 6 November 2022.
TSG Hoffenheim first climbed to #14 in our European rankings on 4 May 2019.