Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Tottenham Hotspur
Ranking: #36 overall, #15 in England

78.5 → 80.2 (+1.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 11 May Leeds Utd (H) 79.4 +0.1
2-1 19 May Chelsea (A) 80.3 +0.9
1-0 24 May Everton (H) 80.6 +0.3
3-0 22 Aug Brentford (A) 79.9 -0.7
0-2 29 Aug Newcastle (H) 80.2 +0.3
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: by the numbers

Arsenal sit 34 places above Tottenham Hotspur in our European rankings, and 14 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Tottenham Hotspur on the rise, +1.7 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.

Tottenham Hotspur lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 Feb 2026.

Tottenham Hotspur first climbed to #7 in our European rankings on 11 Aug 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Arsenal have ever held is 96.8, first set on 7 Feb 2026.