Watford vs Millwall prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Watford Watford Rating: 63.7
H
34%
5 Dec 2026
Championship
D
32%
Millwall Millwall Rating: 67.3
A
34%
Watford
Ranking: #257 overall, #36 in England

64.9 → 63.7 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 25 Apr Boro (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-4 02 May Coventry (H) 63.8 +0.4
2-1 16 Aug Southampton (H) 63.3 -0.5
1-1 22 Aug Wrexham (A) 62.7 -0.6
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0
Millwall
Ranking: #180 overall, #27 in England

64.8 → 67.3 (+2.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 08 May Hull City (A) 67.2 0.0
0-2 11 May Hull City (H) 66.0 -1.2
0-2 15 Aug Bristol City (A) 67.2 +1.2
3-0 22 Aug Norwich City (H) 68.0 +0.8
5-1 29 Aug Southampton (A) 67.3 -0.7

Watford vs Millwall: by the numbers

There are 77 places between these two in our European rankings, with Millwall the higher, and 9 places between them in England.

The recent trend shows Millwall on the rise, +2.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Watford has gone the other way at -1.2.

Millwall gained 1.0 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 17 Jan 2026.

Watford first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.8 on 22 Dec 2018.

The highest Millwall have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #126, first reached on 3 Jul 2020.