Watford vs Millwall prediction | 5 Dec 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Watford Rating: 59.5
H
25%
5 December 2026
Championship
D
28%
Millwall Rating: 67.8
A
48%
Watford
Ranking: #408 overall, #48 in England

63.3 → 59.5 (-3.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1
1-0 18 Sep Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
0-4 10 Oct Burnley (H) 60.3 -0.7
5-1 13 Oct Cardiff City (A) 59.5 -0.8
Millwall
Ranking: #172 overall, #25 in England

67.2 → 67.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 12 Sep Blackburn (A) 67.1 +0.2
2-2 15 Sep Boro (A) 67.7 +0.6
2-2 19 Sep West Ham (H) 68.5 +0.8
0-1 10 Oct Preston (A) 68.6 +0.1
0-1 13 Oct Swansea City (H) 67.8 -0.8

Watford vs Millwall: by the numbers

There are 236 places between these two in our European rankings, with Millwall the higher, and 23 places between them in England.

The recent trend shows Millwall on the rise, +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Watford has gone the other way at -3.8.

Millwall gained 1.0 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 17 January 2026.

Watford first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.8 on 22 December 2018.

The highest Millwall have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #126, first reached on 3 July 2020.