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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
61.8 → 61.5 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Estrela (H) | 60.6 -1.1 | |
| 05 Sep Sporting CP (A) | 60.5 -0.1 | |
| 12 Sep Alverca (H) | 61.2 +0.7 | |
| 19 Sep Famalicão (H) | 61.7 +0.5 | |
| 11 Oct Rio Ave (A) | 61.5 -0.2 |
85.4 → 85.1 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Moreirense (A) | 85.5 +0.1 | |
| 13 Sep Gil Vicente (H) | 85.7 +0.2 | |
| 16 Sep Milan (A) | 85.4 -0.3 | |
| 20 Sep Porto (A) | 84.9 -0.5 | |
| 11 Oct Vitória (H) | 85.1 +0.2 |
CD Nacional trail SL Benfica by 333 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 14 in Portugal.
SL Benfica gained 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 12 April 2026.
The highest CD Nacional have ever stood in our European rankings is #143, first reached on 6 January 2019.
The best xGtoday rating SL Benfica have ever held is 87.9, first set on 10 May 2025.