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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
71.6 → 71.6 (0.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May Como (H) | 72.0 +0.5 | |
| 17 May Inter (A) | 71.9 -0.1 | |
| 24 May Roma (H) | 71.2 -0.7 | |
| 23 Aug Ascoli (H) | 71.5 +0.3 | |
| 29 Aug Padova (A) | 71.6 +0.1 |
58.1 → 58.5 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Empoli (A) | 59.0 -0.6 | |
| 08 May Modena (H) | 59.7 +0.7 | |
| 12 May Catanzaro (A) | 59.3 -0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Arezzo (H) | 58.4 -0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Vicenza (H) | 58.5 +0.1 |
Avellino trail Hellas Verona by 310 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 36 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Avellino have moved +0.4 rating points, against +0.0 for Hellas Verona.
Hellas Verona first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.1 on 30 Apr 2022.
The highest Avellino have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #352, first reached on 18 Oct 2025.