In order to visit xGtoday, you must confirm that you are at least 18 years of age and agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy
mmm...cookies
We use cookies, including from our partners, to enhance and personalise your experience. You can choose to "Accept all cookies", "Accept essential cookies only", or select “Manage Cookies” for more information and to manage any non-essential cookies. Cookie policy
Manage Cookies
When you visit any website, it may store or retrieve information on your browser, mostly in the form of cookies. This information might be about you, your preferences, or your device and is mostly used to make the site work as you expect it to. The information does not usually directly identify you, but it can give you a more personalized experience. Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. Feel free to click on the different category headings to find out more and select which types of cookies you would like to allow or block. Blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience of the site. Cookie policy
Cookie Options
These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in or tagging your favorite team or league. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work.
These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then some or all of these services may not function properly.
These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you do not allow these cookies we will not know when you have visited our site, and will not be able to monitor its performance.
These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising.
Sign In
match result explainer
FC Barcelona
93.8 -0.2
45%
1 - 1
27%
Real Madrid
94.2 +0.2
28%
Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
match prediction explainer
Manchester City
45%
2.21
27%
4.76
Liverpool
28%
3.56
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
The recent trend shows Real Madrid on the rise, +0.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has also improved, albeit more slowly at +0.3.
Real Madrid lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 16 April 2025.
Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 February 2024.
The best xGtoday rating Real Madrid have ever held is 94.3, first set on 8 April 2018.