Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction | 9 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2

Arsenal vs Real Madrid: by the numbers

Arsenal sit 4 places above Real Madrid in our European rankings.

The recent trend shows Real Madrid on the rise, -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.

Real Madrid lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 16 Apr 2025.

Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 Feb 2024.

The best xGtoday rating Real Madrid have ever held is 94.3, first set on 8 Apr 2018.