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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
82.2 → 82.7 (+0.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 26 Sassuolo (A) | 81.4 -0.2 | |
| 15 Oct 26 RB Salzburg (A) | 82.4 +1.0 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Atalanta (H) | 82.8 +0.4 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Bournemouth (A) | 82.1 -0.7 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Udinese (A) | 82.7 +0.6 |
74.9 → 77.6 (+2.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Brighton (H) | 77.5 -0.3 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Torreense (A) | 78.0 +0.5 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Bournemouth (A) | 77.4 -0.6 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Lech Poznań (A) | 77.5 +0.1 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Leeds Utd (H) | 77.6 +0.1 |
Sunderland trail AC Milan by 29 places in our proprietary European rankings.
Sunderland arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.7 rating points over their last 10 matches against AC Milan's +0.5.
The best xGtoday rating AC Milan have ever held is 86.8, first set on 9 November 2024.
The highest Sunderland have ever stood in our European rankings is #47, first reached on 15 October 2026.