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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
73.1 → 71.9 (-1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Feyenoord (A) | 72.0 -0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) | 72.3 +0.3 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Cambuur (A) | 71.9 -0.4 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Ararat (A) | 72.6 +0.7 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Twente (H) | 71.9 -0.7 |
65.9 → 64.3 (-1.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 26 Feyenoord (A) | 64.8 -0.2 | |
| 29 Jan 26 Brann (H) | 63.7 -1.1 | |
| 16 Sep 26 Rennes (H) | 63.3 -0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Bournemouth (A) | 63.2 -0.1 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Marseille (H) | 64.3 +1.1 |
AZ Alkmaar sit 136 places above SK Sturm Graz in our European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches AZ Alkmaar have moved -1.2 rating points, against -1.6 for SK Sturm Graz.
The highest AZ Alkmaar have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #57, first reached on 13 March 2021.
The best xGtoday rating SK Sturm Graz have ever held is 66.2, first set on 26 October 2023.