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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
77.5 → 78.6 (+1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May Toulouse (A) | 78.5 +0.4 | |
| 17 May Lens (H) | 78.8 +0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Toulouse (A) | 77.9 -0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Le Havre (H) | 78.2 +0.3 | |
| 04 Sep Auxerre (H) | 78.6 +0.4 |
75.2 → 74.8 (-0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug Westerlo (A) | 75.5 +0.4 | |
| 15 Aug Zulte Waregem (H) | 74.9 -0.6 | |
| 30 Aug Anderlecht (H) | 74.7 -0.2 | |
| 02 Sep STVV (A) | 75.6 +0.9 | |
| 05 Sep Charleroi (A) | 74.8 -0.8 |
There are 32 places between these two in our European rankings, with Olympique Lyonnais the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Olympique Lyonnais have moved +1.1 rating points, against -0.4 for Union SG.
The best xGtoday rating Olympique Lyonnais have ever held is 85.9, first set on 19 Feb 2021.
Union SG first climbed to joint #38 in our European rankings on 29 Sep 2025.