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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
77.9 → 78.0 (+0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 26 Rennes (H) | 78.8 +0.7 | |
| 09 Oct 26 Lens (A) | 78.9 +0.1 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Crystal Palace (H) | 79.0 +0.1 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Nice (H) | 78.6 -0.4 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Hoffenheim (A) | 78.0 -0.6 |
74.7 → 76.7 (+2.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Antwerp (A) | 76.7 +0.6 | |
| 11 Oct 26 OH Leuven (H) | 75.8 -0.9 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Real Sociedad (H) | 76.3 +0.5 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) | 76.6 +0.3 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Cercle (H) | 76.7 +0.1 |
There are 11 places between these two in our European rankings, with Olympique Lyonnais the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Union SG have moved +2.0 rating points, against +0.1 for Olympique Lyonnais.
The best xGtoday rating Olympique Lyonnais have ever held is 85.9, first set on 19 February 2021.
Union SG first climbed to joint #38 in our European rankings on 29 September 2025.