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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
55.7 → 56.7 (+1.0 over last 2 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 26 FC Kairat (H) | 55.7 +0.8 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Pafos FC (A) | 56.7 +1.0 |
81.5 → 78.4 (-3.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 26 Venezia (H) | 79.0 -0.6 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Pafos FC (H) | 79.1 +0.1 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Milan (A) | 78.7 -0.4 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Ajax (A) | 78.1 -0.6 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Frosinone (H) | 78.4 +0.3 |
There are 428 places between these two in our European rankings, with Atalanta the higher.
Riga FC arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.0 rating points over their last 2 matches; Atalanta have moved -3.1 over their last 10.
Riga FC first climbed to joint #472 in our European rankings on 22 October 2026.
Atalanta first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 90.7 on 15 February 2020.