Manchester City vs Chelsea prediction | 12 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9
Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6

Manchester City vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Chelsea trail Manchester City by 4 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 2 in England.

The recent trend shows Manchester City on the rise, -0.2 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Chelsea has gone the other way at -3.6.

Last time these teams played, on 12 Apr 2026, Manchester City gained 1.0 rating points.

The highest Manchester City have ever stood in our European rankings is #1, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Chelsea have ever held is 94.6, first set on 22 Aug 2021.