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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
62.6 → 63.5 (+0.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr Avellino (H) | 63.5 +0.4 | |
| 25 Apr Südtirol (A) | 63.6 +0.1 | |
| 01 May Monza (H) | 63.4 -0.2 | |
| 08 May Frosinone (A) | 63.2 -0.2 | |
| 22 Aug Carrarese (A) | 63.5 +0.3 |
59.8 → 57.4 (-2.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Parma (H) | 58.3 -0.6 | |
| 06 May Cittadella (A) | 58.4 +0.1 | |
| 13 May Modena (H) | 57.8 -0.6 | |
| 19 May Perugia (A) | 57.5 -0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Modena (H) | 57.4 -0.1 |
There are 184 places between these two in our European rankings, with Mantova the higher, and 26 places between them in Italy.
Mantova arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.9 rating points over their last 10 matches against Benevento's -2.4.
Mantova first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 63.9 on 6 Apr 2026.
Benevento first climbed to joint #69 in our European rankings on 8 Mar 2020.