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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
63.5 → 63.9 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Empoli (H) | 64.0 +0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Cesena (A) | 63.5 -0.5 | |
| 13 Sep Sampdoria (H) | 62.8 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Pisa (H) | 62.6 -0.2 | |
| 11 Oct Catanzaro (A) | 63.9 +1.3 |
58.3 → 58.7 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Südtirol (H) | 58.2 +0.8 | |
| 05 Sep Ascoli (A) | 57.5 -0.7 | |
| 11 Sep Verona (H) | 57.4 -0.1 | |
| 19 Sep Carrarese (A) | 57.8 +0.4 | |
| 10 Oct Cesena (H) | 58.7 +0.9 |
There are 180 places between these two in our European rankings, with Mantova the higher, and 26 places between them in Italy.
Mantova first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 64.0 on 30 August 2026.
Benevento first climbed to joint #69 in our European rankings on 8 March 2020.