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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
65.2 → 66.3 (+1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 24 Pafos FC (H) | 65.3 +0.5 | |
| 06 Mar 25 NK Celje (A) | 66.2 +0.9 | |
| 13 Mar 25 NK Celje (H) | 65.5 -0.7 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Crvena zvezda (H) | 66.3 +0.8 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Getafe (A) | 66.3 0.0 |
69.3 → 69.1 (-0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Westerlo (H) | 68.8 0.0 | |
| 11 Oct 26 Mechelen (A) | 69.2 +0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Iberia 1999 (H) | 69.3 +0.1 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Midtjylland (A) | 69.3 0.0 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Club Brugge (A) | 69.1 -0.2 |
Sint-Truiden (STVV) sit 49 places above FC Lugano in our European rankings.
FC Lugano arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Sint-Truiden (STVV)'s -0.2.
FC Lugano first climbed to joint #197 in our European rankings on 6 March 2025.
Sint-Truiden (STVV) first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 71.5 on 2 May 2026.