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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
73.7 → 74.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 26 Sporting CP (H) | 74.3 +0.8 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Copenhagen (A) | 73.6 -0.7 | |
| 19 Oct 26 Gil Vicente (H) | 73.3 -0.3 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Gent (H) | 73.9 +0.6 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Nacional (A) | 74.3 +0.4 |
54.6 → 54.6 (0.0 over last 2 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 26 Midtjylland (H) | 54.6 -0.3 | |
| 22 Oct 26 AGF (A) | 54.6 0.0 |
There are 424 places between these two in our European rankings, with SC Braga the higher.
SC Braga arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches; KF Egnatia have moved +0.0 over their last 2.
SC Braga first climbed to #60 in our European rankings on 24 January 2023.
The best xGtoday rating KF Egnatia have ever held is 54.9, first set on 6 August 2026.