Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction | 19 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Manchester United
Ranking: #11 overall, #6 in England

86.3 → 86.2 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 03 May Liverpool (H) 85.5 +0.8
0-0 09 May Sunderland (A) 84.8 -0.7
3-2 17 May Nottm Forest (H) 85.3 +0.5
0-3 24 May Brighton (A) 86.2 +0.9
2-0 22 Aug Hull City (A) 86.2 0.0

Arsenal vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Manchester United trail Arsenal by 9 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.

Manchester United arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Arsenal's -2.2.

Manchester United gained 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 Jan 2026.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 Feb 2024.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 Sep 2017.