Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction | 19 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

94.5 → 94.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep Napoli (A) 94.9 +0.6
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
2-1 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1
Manchester United
Ranking: #13 overall, #5 in England

85.3 → 85.0 (-0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 10 Sep Sabah (H) 86.3 +0.2
0-1 13 Sep Man City (H) 86.3 0.0
1-1 20 Sep Fulham (A) 86.2 -0.1
1-1 10 Oct Tottenham (H) 85.3 -0.9
2-0 13 Oct Atl Madrid (A) 85.0 -0.3

Arsenal vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Manchester United trail Arsenal by 11 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 4 in England.

Arsenal arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester United's -0.3.

Manchester United gained 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 January 2026.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 February 2024.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 September 2017.