Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction | 19 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Aston Villa
Ranking: #19 overall, #9 in England

82.7 → 83.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) 83.8 +1.1
1-2 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) 82.5 -1.3
2-3 19 Sep Tottenham (A) 82.4 -0.1
2-2 10 Oct Brentford (H) 83.1 +0.7
6-0 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) 83.3 +0.2

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Chelsea by 4 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Aston Villa have moved +0.6 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 4 March 2026, Chelsea gained 1.0 rating points.

Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 August 2021.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 January 2024.