Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction | 19 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Chelsea by 15 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Aston Villa have moved -0.4 rating points, against -3.6 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 4 Mar 2026, Chelsea gained 1.0 rating points.

Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 Aug 2021.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 Jan 2024.