Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar prediction | 19 Dec 2026 | xGtoday


Excelsior
Ranking: #391 overall, #12 in Netherlands

59.8 → 60.1 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 05 Sep Willem II (A) 61.2 +0.3
2-2 08 Sep NEC (A) 61.9 +0.7
1-2 13 Sep Utrecht (H) 61.3 -0.6
2-2 19 Sep Ajax (A) 61.0 -0.3
1-5 11 Oct Groningen (H) 60.1 -0.9
AZ Alkmaar
Ranking: #109 overall, #5 in Netherlands

71.6 → 72.0 (+0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 06 Sep Heerenveen (A) 72.6 -0.5
1-1 11 Sep Willem II (H) 72.7 +0.1
1-0 16 Sep Sunderland (A) 72.2 -0.5
1-0 20 Sep Telstar (H) 72.4 +0.2
2-0 10 Oct Feyenoord (A) 72.0 -0.4

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: by the numbers

Excelsior trail AZ Alkmaar by 282 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in Netherlands.

AZ Alkmaar arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against Excelsior's +0.3.

Last time these teams played, on 14 February 2026, Excelsior lost 0.4 rating points.

Excelsior first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 63.9 on 11 August 2018.

AZ Alkmaar first climbed to joint #57 in our European rankings on 13 March 2021.