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match result explainer
FC Barcelona
93.8 -0.2
45%
1 - 1
27%
Real Madrid
94.2 +0.2
28%
Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
match prediction explainer
Manchester City
45%
2.21
27%
4.76
Liverpool
28%
3.56
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
FC Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel: by the numbers
There are 88 places between these two in our European rankings, with Holstein Kiel the higher, and 8 places between them in Germany.
FC Energie Cottbus arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.2 rating points over their last 7 matches; Holstein Kiel have moved -0.4 over their last 10.
The highest FC Energie Cottbus have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #318, first reached on 10 October 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Holstein Kiel have ever held is 73.3, first set on 5 November 2017.