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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
82.7 → 83.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) | 83.8 +1.1 | |
| 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) | 82.5 -1.3 | |
| 19 Sep Tottenham (A) | 82.4 -0.1 | |
| 10 Oct Brentford (H) | 83.1 +0.7 | |
| 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) | 83.3 +0.2 |
87.2 → 87.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 12 Sep Fulham (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 20 Sep Bournemouth (A) | 88.0 +0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Man City (H) | 87.6 -0.4 | |
| 14 Oct LASK (A) | 87.8 +0.2 |
Aston Villa trail Liverpool by 12 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 6 in England.
Liverpool lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 15 May 2026.
Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 January 2024.
Liverpool first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 97.6 on 1 February 2025.