Chelsea vs Newcastle United prediction | 2 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
Newcastle United
Ranking: #20 overall, #10 in England

85.8 → 83.7 (-2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Nottm Forest (A) 85.8 +0.3
3-1 17 May West Ham (H) 85.9 +0.1
2-0 24 May Fulham (A) 84.9 -1.0
2-2 23 Aug Liverpool (H) 84.0 -0.9
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3

Chelsea vs Newcastle United: by the numbers

Chelsea sit 12 places above Newcastle United in our European rankings, and 6 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Newcastle United have moved -2.1 rating points, against -3.6 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 14 Mar 2026, Chelsea lost 0.3 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Chelsea have ever held is 94.6, first set on 22 Aug 2021.

Newcastle United first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 27 Aug 2023.