Chelsea vs Newcastle United prediction | 2 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Newcastle United
Ranking: #27 overall, #13 in England

85.5 → 81.6 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
2-2 05 Sep Bournemouth (H) 83.1 -0.6
4-1 14 Sep Leeds Utd (A) 82.5 -0.6
2-1 19 Sep Hull City (H) 81.7 -0.8
4-1 12 Oct Coventry (A) 81.6 -0.1

Chelsea vs Newcastle United: by the numbers

Chelsea sit 12 places above Newcastle United in our European rankings, and 7 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Chelsea have moved -3.3 rating points, against -3.9 for Newcastle United.

Last time these teams played, on 14 March 2026, Chelsea lost 0.3 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Chelsea have ever held is 94.6, first set on 22 August 2021.

Newcastle United first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 27 August 2023.