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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
77.1 → 76.0 (-1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May Genoa (H) | 77.0 +0.1 | |
| 17 May Juventus (A) | 76.7 -0.3 | |
| 22 May Atalanta (H) | 76.4 -0.3 | |
| 24 Aug Roma (A) | 75.8 -0.6 | |
| 29 Aug Frosinone (H) | 76.0 +0.2 |
75.8 → 76.0 (+0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 04 May Cremonese (A) | 77.7 -0.1 | |
| 09 May Inter (H) | 77.5 -0.2 | |
| 17 May Roma (A) | 77.5 0.0 | |
| 23 May Pisa (H) | 76.7 -0.8 | |
| 24 Aug Bologna (A) | 76.0 -0.7 |
Fiorentina and Lazio are level in our European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches Lazio have moved +0.2 rating points, against -1.1 for Fiorentina.
Lazio gained 0.7 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 13 Apr 2026.
Fiorentina first climbed to joint #15 in our European rankings on 12 Dec 2018.
Lazio first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 84.4 on 8 Dec 2024.