Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid prediction | 3 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Rayo Vallecano
Ranking: #65 overall, #11 in Spain

77.3 → 75.9 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-2 31 Aug Barcelona (A) 75.3 -0.1
3-2 05 Sep Racing Sant (H) 75.7 +0.4
4-1 12 Sep Real Madrid (A) 75.5 -0.2
2-1 15 Sep Espanyol (H) 75.3 -0.2
1-1 19 Sep Osasuna (A) 75.9 +0.6
Atlético Madrid
Ranking: #21 overall, #3 in Spain

80.1 → 82.6 (+2.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 13 Sep Real Sociedad (A) 79.6 +1.1
4-0 16 Sep Osasuna (H) 80.4 +0.8
2-1 20 Sep Real Madrid (H) 81.9 +1.5
1-2 10 Oct Alavés (A) 82.4 +0.5
2-0 13 Oct Man United (H) 82.6 +0.2

Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: by the numbers

Atlético Madrid sit 44 places above Rayo Vallecano in our European rankings, and 8 places above them in Spain.

Atlético Madrid arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.5 rating points over their last 10 matches against Rayo Vallecano's -1.4.

Atlético Madrid lost 0.8 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 15 February 2026.

The highest Rayo Vallecano have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #43, first reached on 3 October 2020.

Atlético Madrid first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 July 2017.