Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid prediction | 3 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Rayo Vallecano
Ranking: #66 overall, #14 in Spain

76.6 → 75.4 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 17 May Villarreal (H) 77.3 +0.3
1-2 23 May Alavés (A) 77.3 0.0
1-0 27 May Crystal Palace (A) 76.7 -0.6
2-1 15 Aug Sevilla (A) 76.6 -0.1
1-1 20 Aug Alavés (H) 75.4 -1.2
Atlético Madrid
Ranking: #45 overall, #5 in Spain

80.0 → 78.6 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 17 May Girona (H) 80.6 -0.5
5-1 24 May Villarreal (A) 80.0 -0.6
2-0 19 Aug Málaga (H) 80.1 +0.1
2-2 23 Aug Villarreal (H) 78.6 -1.5
1-3 29 Aug Sevilla (A) 78.6 0.0

Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: by the numbers

Atlético Madrid sit 21 places above Rayo Vallecano in our European rankings, and 9 places above them in Spain.

Rayo Vallecano arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -1.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Atlético Madrid's -1.4.

Atlético Madrid lost 0.8 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 15 Feb 2026.

The highest Rayo Vallecano have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #43, first reached on 3 Oct 2020.

Atlético Madrid first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 Jul 2017.