AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction | 6 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

AC Milan Rating: 81.4
H
51%
6 January 2027
Serie A
D
28%
Fiorentina Rating: 76.8
A
21%
AC Milan
Ranking: #28 overall, #5 in Italy

82.5 → 81.4 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 06 Sep Juventus (A) 81.7 -0.5
2-2 12 Sep Lazio (A) 81.0 -0.7
0-2 16 Sep Benfica (H) 81.3 +0.3
3-0 20 Sep Lecce (H) 81.6 +0.3
1-1 11 Oct Sassuolo (A) 81.4 -0.2
Fiorentina
Ranking: #55 overall, #10 in Italy

76.9 → 76.8 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 29 Aug Frosinone (H) 76.0 +0.2
1-2 05 Sep Torino (H) 76.5 +0.5
2-4 11 Sep Venezia (A) 77.7 +1.2
1-1 20 Sep Napoli (H) 77.4 -0.3
2-1 10 Oct Genoa (A) 76.8 -0.6

AC Milan vs Fiorentina: by the numbers

There are 27 places between these two in our European rankings, with AC Milan the higher, and 5 places between them in Italy.

Fiorentina arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against AC Milan's -1.1.

Last time these teams played, on 11 January 2026, Fiorentina gained 0.3 rating points.

The highest AC Milan have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #10, first reached on 19 October 2024.

Fiorentina first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 83.5 on 20 January 2019.