AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction | 6 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

AC Milan Milan Rating: 82.2
H
56%
6 Jan 2027
Serie A
D
25%
Fiorentina Fiorentina Rating: 76.0
A
19%
AC Milan
Ranking: #27 overall, #5 in Italy

83.5 → 82.2 (-1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 10 May Atalanta (H) 82.5 +0.5
1-2 17 May Genoa (A) 82.7 +0.2
1-2 24 May Cagliari (H) 81.5 -1.2
1-2 23 Aug Torino (A) 81.9 +0.4
2-0 28 Aug Venezia (H) 82.2 +0.3
Fiorentina
Ranking: #59 overall, #9 in Italy

77.1 → 76.0 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 10 May Genoa (H) 77.0 +0.1
0-2 17 May Juventus (A) 76.7 -0.3
1-1 22 May Atalanta (H) 76.4 -0.3
4-0 24 Aug Roma (A) 75.8 -0.6
0-3 29 Aug Frosinone (H) 76.0 +0.2

AC Milan vs Fiorentina: by the numbers

There are 32 places between these two in our European rankings, with AC Milan the higher, and 4 places between them in Italy.

Fiorentina arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against AC Milan's -1.3.

Last time these teams played, on 11 Jan 2026, Fiorentina gained 0.3 rating points.

The highest AC Milan have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #10, first reached on 19 Oct 2024.

Fiorentina first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 83.5 on 20 Jan 2019.