Ajax vs FC Groningen prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Ajax
Ranking: #108 overall, #4 in Netherlands

69.8 → 72.1 (+2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 05 Sep PSV (H) 71.0 -0.1
1-5 12 Sep Fortuna (A) 71.6 +0.6
5-1 15 Sep Willem II (H) 71.7 +0.1
2-2 19 Sep Excelsior (H) 71.9 +0.2
1-1 10 Oct NEC (H) 72.1 +0.2
FC Groningen
Ranking: #204 overall, #7 in Netherlands

67.4 → 66.1 (-1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 28 Aug Fortuna (H) 66.8 +0.2
2-2 06 Sep Twente (H) 66.5 -0.3
1-1 12 Sep Go Ahead (A) 65.1 -1.4
3-0 18 Sep Zwolle (H) 65.3 +0.2
1-5 11 Oct Excelsior (A) 66.1 +0.8

Ajax vs FC Groningen: by the numbers

FC Groningen trail Ajax by 96 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in Netherlands.

Ajax arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against FC Groningen's -1.3.

Last time these teams played, on 21 May 2026, FC Groningen lost 0.6 rating points.

Ajax first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 23 April 2022.

The best xGtoday rating FC Groningen have ever held is 68.4, first set on 25 April 2026.