Aston Villa vs Manchester United prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #19 overall, #9 in England

82.7 → 83.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) 83.8 +1.1
1-2 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) 82.5 -1.3
2-3 19 Sep Tottenham (A) 82.4 -0.1
2-2 10 Oct Brentford (H) 83.1 +0.7
6-0 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) 83.3 +0.2
Manchester United
Ranking: #13 overall, #5 in England

85.3 → 85.0 (-0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 10 Sep Sabah (H) 86.3 +0.2
0-1 13 Sep Man City (H) 86.3 0.0
1-1 20 Sep Fulham (A) 86.2 -0.1
1-1 10 Oct Tottenham (H) 85.3 -0.9
2-0 13 Oct Atl Madrid (A) 85.0 -0.3

Aston Villa vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Manchester United by 6 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 4 in England.

Aston Villa arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester United's -0.3.

Last time these teams played, on 15 March 2026, Manchester United lost 0.3 rating points.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 January 2024.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 September 2017.