Aston Villa vs Manchester United prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8
Manchester United
Ranking: #11 overall, #6 in England

86.3 → 86.2 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 03 May Liverpool (H) 85.5 +0.8
0-0 09 May Sunderland (A) 84.8 -0.7
3-2 17 May Nottm Forest (H) 85.3 +0.5
0-3 24 May Brighton (A) 86.2 +0.9
2-0 22 Aug Hull City (A) 86.2 0.0

Aston Villa vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Manchester United by 12 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.

Manchester United arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Aston Villa's -0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 15 Mar 2026, Manchester United lost 0.3 rating points.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 Jan 2024.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 Sep 2017.