Chelsea vs Sunderland prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Sunderland
Ranking: #49 overall, #17 in England

73.4 → 77.5 (+4.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 05 Sep Brentford (A) 75.7 +0.8
0-2 12 Sep Arsenal (H) 76.2 +0.5
1-0 16 Sep AZ Alkmaar (H) 76.7 +0.5
5-3 20 Sep Man City (A) 77.8 +1.1
0-2 10 Oct Brighton (H) 77.5 -0.3

Chelsea vs Sunderland: by the numbers

There are 34 places between these two in our European rankings, with Chelsea the higher, and 11 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Sunderland have moved +4.1 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 24 May 2026, Chelsea lost 1.0 rating points.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.

Sunderland first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 77.8 on 20 September 2026.