Chelsea vs Sunderland prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
Sunderland
Ranking: #80 overall, #20 in England

71.8 → 74.1 (+2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 02 May Wolves (A) 72.6 -0.6
0-0 09 May Man United (H) 73.4 +0.8
1-3 17 May Everton (A) 73.7 +0.3
2-1 24 May Chelsea (H) 74.7 +1.0
2-1 22 Aug Ipswich (A) 74.1 -0.6

Chelsea vs Sunderland: by the numbers

There are 72 places between these two in our European rankings, with Chelsea the higher, and 16 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Sunderland have moved +2.3 rating points, against -3.6 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 24 May 2026, Chelsea lost 1.0 rating points.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.

Sunderland first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 74.7 on 24 May 2026.