Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9
Nottingham Forest
Ranking: #32 overall, #13 in England

79.9 → 80.9 (+1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Newcastle (H) 80.0 -0.2
3-2 17 May Man United (A) 79.4 -0.6
1-1 24 May Bournemouth (H) 80.0 +0.6
0-1 22 Aug Leeds Utd (H) 80.0 0.0
2-2 29 Aug Liverpool (A) 80.9 +0.9

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: by the numbers

There are 28 places between these two in our European rankings, with Manchester City the higher, and 11 places between them in England.

Nottingham Forest arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester City's -0.2.

Last time these teams played, on 4 Mar 2026, Manchester City gained 0.1 rating points.

Manchester City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 99.5 on 6 Sep 2022.

The highest Nottingham Forest have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #24, first reached on 1 Feb 2025.