Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

90.5 → 91.2 (+0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 08 Sep Porto (A) 91.6 +0.7
0-1 13 Sep Man United (A) 91.6 0.0
5-3 20 Sep Sunderland (H) 90.4 -1.2
0-3 11 Oct Liverpool (A) 90.8 +0.4
2-4 14 Oct PSG (H) 91.2 +0.4
Nottingham Forest
Ranking: #22 overall, #10 in England

80.2 → 82.4 (+2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 29 Aug Liverpool (A) 80.9 +0.9
0-0 05 Sep Tottenham (H) 80.5 -0.4
1-2 12 Sep Aston Villa (A) 81.8 +1.3
0-1 19 Sep Coventry (H) 81.6 -0.2
3-1 11 Oct Crystal Palace (A) 82.4 +0.8

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: by the numbers

There are 17 places between these two in our European rankings, with Manchester City the higher, and 8 places between them in England.

Nottingham Forest arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester City's +0.7.

Last time these teams played, on 4 March 2026, Manchester City gained 0.1 rating points.

Manchester City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 99.5 on 6 September 2022.

The highest Nottingham Forest have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #21, first reached on 11 October 2026.